Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.228769 0.270762 0.315612 0.366800 0.423329 0.483584 0.552401
2024-10-20 0.168369 0.223908 0.287639 0.365068 0.455494 0.556724 0.677568
2024-10-27 0.131143 0.195115 0.273582 0.374262 0.497425 0.640763 0.817740
2024-11-03 0.104379 0.173489 0.263812 0.385548 0.540541 0.726828 0.963152
2024-11-10 0.083841 0.155723 0.255617 0.396481 0.582261 0.811787 1.109609
2024-11-17 0.062995 0.132927 0.236934 0.390723 0.600899 0.867665 1.221368
2024-11-24 0.049723 0.118608 0.227681 0.395813 0.632609 0.939910 1.354514
2024-12-01 0.037073 0.102032 0.212342 0.390064 0.648218 0.990763 1.460891
2024-12-08 0.025817 0.084504 0.192520 0.375130 0.649123 1.021048 1.540345
2024-12-15 0.020503 0.077278 0.188485 0.383254 0.682304 1.094708 1.677336
2024-12-22 0.014435 0.065956 0.175322 0.375374 0.691096 1.134617 1.769760
2024-12-29 0.012226 0.063523 0.178098 0.393265 0.738390 1.228440 1.935690
2025-01-05 0.008785 0.056134 0.170413 0.393432 0.759513 1.287202 2.057037
2025-01-12 0.006280 0.050106 0.164404 0.395759 0.783735 1.350693 2.185889
2025-01-19 0.004858 0.047028 0.164144 0.408037 0.823739 1.437471 2.348107
2025-01-26 0.003774 0.044518 0.164690 0.421596 0.865960 1.528052 2.516737
2025-02-02 0.002868 0.042016 0.164807 0.434196 0.906833 1.617266 2.684610
2025-02-09 0.001688 0.036250 0.155813 0.428667 0.917648 1.662202 2.790769
2025-02-16 0.001094 0.033120 0.152872 0.434450 0.947050 1.734964 2.936943
2025-02-23 0.000536 0.028393 0.144487 0.428546 0.956330 1.777460 3.040379
2025-03-02 0.000163 0.022812 0.131949 0.412754 0.947717 1.792253 3.103890
2025-03-09 0.000075 0.021183 0.131149 0.421499 0.981634 1.872315 3.262247
2025-03-16 0.000009 0.017610 0.122838 0.413141 0.984979 1.905099 3.352191